XM tidak menyediakan perkhidmatan kepada penduduk Amerika Syarikat.

Laporan Khas

What’s behind the US economy’s resilience?

US economy is still sizzling, outperforming other regions Several factors behind this strength, such as heavy public spending  For US dollar to enjoy a massive rally, it may also need risk aversion    Why is the US economy still so strong?  One of the most striking developments over the past year has been the extraordinary resilience of the US economy, despite the highest interest rates in a generation.
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Is there a possibility of no Fed rate cuts this year?

A summer rate cut by the Fed hangs in the balance amid persistent inflation Rate cut bets have been scaled back from more than six to around two But limited fallout on Wall Street; can the risk rally survive no rate cuts? Waiting for the elusive rate cut Ever since the Fed signalled it was done hiking rates in November last year, the focus swiftly turned to rate cuts, with the timing and scope of policy easing consuming investors’ attention.
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Why is gold defying gravity?

Gold stays in rally mode, even when dollar and yields rise Central banks and geopolitics among the main drivers Chinese demand and inflation hedging add extra support Is it a bird? Is it a plane? No, it’s gold! Gold entered a flying mode at the beginning of March, surpassing its previous record high of $2,135 hit on March 7. The metal consolidated only for a while thereafter before rallying again during the last days of the month to continue conquering uncharted territory.
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Why does the 10-year US yield remain so high?

The 10-year US yield is a key determinant of FX moves It tends to drop when the Fed prepares to cut its interest rates Despite market expectations about the Fed, the 10-year US yield remains high A stock market correction could be a catalyst for a sizeable drop in US yields The 10-year US yield is the barometer of the US economy.
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A trading playbook on Japanese FX intervention

Yen falls 7% this year to hit lowest levels in three decades Japanese authorities threaten to intervene again to defend it How likely is intervention, and what are the steps to get there?  Yen tanks, again The Japanese yen absorbed heavy damage this year, briefly falling to a 34-year low against the US dollar. Selling pressures persisted even after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates out of negative territory, leading authorities in Tokyo to threaten another round of FX inter
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Exploring trends and investment opportunities in thematic indices

Thematic indices have seen a rise in popularity in recent years But what are they and what is their purpose as an investment tool? What thematic indices does XM offer? Introducing thematic indices Thematic indices are designed to capture trends arising from structural shifts within the technological, geopolitical and macroeconomic spheres that are often disruptive by nature.
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Does the Easter break affect markets?

Oil prices tends to rally before and after Easter Sunday Euro/dollar’s performance becomes clearer when drilling down the data Patterns emerge when focusing only on Easter Sunday occurring in March Most participants who trade based on seasonal patterns, enjoy combining the market’s performance with certain events like the Christmas and Easter breaks.
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How the markets could react to the Fed meeting

Fed meeting coming up next; the market is in waiting mode The 10-year US Treasury yield usually reacts first to Fed decisions Gold and EURUSD could benefit from lower US yields The much talked about Fed meeting is taking place tonight at 18.00 GMT with the usual press conference held 30 minutes later. There is a growing debate about the outcome of the meeting, the overall rhetoric by Chairman Powell and the famous dot plot.
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Why are Gold and Bitcoin hitting new records together?

Gold and Bitcoin cruise to new all-time highs simultaneously However, there are different drivers behind these rallies Overall, both assets might have more scope to run higher Gold and bitcoin go through the roof It’s pretty rare to see gold and bitcoin setting new record highs at the same time. Gold is considered the ultimate safe haven asset, while bitcoin is often viewed as one of the riskiest and most speculative plays.
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Dissecting the ECB Monetary policy decisions communiqué

The monetary policy decisions statement is released at 13:15 GMT President Lagarde et al could signal a policy shift in this communiqué The ECB staff projections could also hold the key to a rate cut soon The scheduled press conference takes place 30 minutes later Complementing the detailed ECB preview, this report focuses on the first communication made by the European Central Bank after the completion of each rate setting meeting.
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Are there more AI growth opportunities to be priced into the markets?

Nvidia skyrockets and drives the S&P 500 to new records Demand for chips continues to surge, AI enters consumers’ life There maybe more AI growth opportunities to be priced in But downside risks on high valuations and geopolitics do exist Nvidia beats already optimistic estimates Just last week, the investor favorite Nvidia beat out Amazon and Alphabet to take the third place as the most valuable company in the US by market capitalization, and although the chipmaker’s
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Performance in past “Fed pause” intervals supports the current S&P 500 rally

A performance comparison of key assets in the previous Fed pause periods The S&P 500 index could go higher if history repeats itself The US 10-year yield is expected to drop when the Fed decides to signal rate cuts A special report was published last year analysing the performance of key market assets during the three occasions since 2000 – in 2000-01, 2006-07 and 2018-19 respectively – when the Fed paused after a rate hiking cycle.
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German economic troubles could keep the euro heavy

Eurozone economy narrowly avoided a recession last year Yet situation could get worse as Germany tightens spending Can the euro ignore deteriorating economic fundamentals?      No recession, but no growth either The euro area miraculously dodged a recession last year, even despite inflation eating into people’s real incomes and high interest rates dampening demand.
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What you need to know about the troubled commercial real estate debt

Commercial real estate loans cause anxiety amid high interest rates Bank risks remain low but cannot be ignored    It's not that quiet on the bank front The US economy has proved surprisingly resilient to the fastest increase in interest rates in forty years. Six months after the latest rate hike, the economy keeps growing at a healthy pace, defying recession risks, which some of its peers are already sinking into.
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A year in the life of a gold day trader

A simulation to represent the trading process of a gold trader in 2023 Using a generic trading strategy, the results and the importance of stop losses are examined Central bank meetings and US labour market data were the main causes of sizeable moves Laying the background for this simulation Being a retail trader is an extremely challenging endeavor that tests a person’s abilities on a daily basis.
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How does a UK recession affect the pound’s fate?

BoE maintains more hawkish stance than Fed, ECB Despite recession in H2 2023, rate cut bets were not altered January data suggests the economy may have turned a corner With general elections looming, what’s next for the pound? UK enters recession in H2 2023 Despite dropping its tightening bias at its February gathering, the Bank of England (BoE) maintained a more hawkish stance than the Fed and the ECB, pushing back against interest rate cuts.
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Has the Japanese yen missed the recovery train?

Yen down more than 6% against US dollar this year already Traders less confident Japan will raise rates, as inflation slows For the yen to recover, global economy needs to weaken Yen feels the blues Another year, another meltdown for the Japanese currency. A combination of worsening economic data and some cautious messages by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have raised doubts about whether a cycle of rate increases lies ahead, inflicting heavy damage on the yen.
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What is next for commodity-linked currencies?

Risk linked currencies lose correlation to S&P 500 Dollar outperforms all as Fed implied rate path rises BoC abandons tightening bias, but RBA and RBNZ stay hawkish China impacts aussie and kiwi, loonie linked to oil prices Surrendering to the greenback’s dominance Just before the turn of the year, the risk-linked currencies - the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar, and the Canadian dollar - also known as the commodity-linked currencies, have come under selling pr
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Why are Chinese stocks melting down?

Chinese stock markets sink to lowest levels in five years Real estate crisis and other problems haunt investors  Valuations are cheap, but more is needed for lasting recovery Chinese equities implode It’s been a tough few years for Chinese stock markets. Shares in mainland China have fallen to their lowest levels since 2019 as investors continue to liquidate their positions, despite a series of stimulus measures by Beijing that were meant to stop the bleeding.  An ongoin
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What now for the US dollar after rate cut delay?

US dollar re-energized as strong data, hawkish Fed dent early rate cut bets American economy still churning out new jobs, shows no signs of cracks Will hot economy scupper the Fed’s plan to ease policy this year? From recession fears to overheating risk The US dollar may have ended 2023 on a bearish note as rate cut speculation reached fever pitch, but that has certainly not set the tone for 2024. In fact, the greenback rallied in the first week of January and the year-to-date u
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Idea Dagangan

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Ringkasan Pasaran

Penafian: Entiti XM Group menyediakan perkhidmatan pelaksanaan sahaja dan akses ke Kemudahan Dagangan Atas Talian, yang membolehkan sesorang melihat dan/atau menggunakan kandungan yang ada di dalam atau melalui laman web, tidak bertujuan untuk mengubah atau memperluas, juga tidak mengubah atau mengembangkannya. Akses dan penggunaan tersebut tertakluk kepada: (i) Terma dan Syarat; (ii) Amaran Risiko; dan Penafian Penuh. Oleh itu, kandungan sedemikian disediakan tidak lebih dari sekadar maklumat umum. Terutamanya, perlu diketahui bahawa kandungan Kemudahan Dagangan Atas Talian bukan permintaan, atau tawaran untuk melakukan transaksi dalam pasaran kewangan. Berdagang dalam mana-mana pasaran kewangan melibatkan tahap risiko yang besar terhadap modal anda.

Semua bahan yang diterbitkan di Kemudahan Dagangan Atas Talian kami bertujuan hanya untuk tujuan pendidikan/maklumat dan tidak mengandungi – dan tidak boleh dianggap mengandungi nasihat kewangan, cukai pelaburan atau dagangan dan cadangan, atau rekod harga dagangan kami, atau tawaran, atau permintaan untuk suatu transaksi dalam sebarang instrumen kewangan atau promosi kewangan yang tidak diminta kepada anda.

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Amaran Risiko: Modal anda dalam risiko. Produk yang menggunakan leveraj mungkin tidak sesuai untuk semua individu. Sila pertimbangkan Pendedahan Risiko kami.